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About the guest:

In this week’s episode, we sit down with Ashish Shanker, MD & CEO of Motilal Oswal Private Wealth, which now oversees over ₹1.9 Lakh Crore (appx. $21 Billion) in assets under advisory.

Key insights from the episode:

1. The "Non-Obvious" Sector Pick: Financials 🏦

Just as PSU Defense surprised everyone in 2024, Ashish believes Financials will be the dark horse of 2026.

  • The Thesis: While the sector struggled recently, it has shown resilience. With the RBI cutting rates and liquidity improving, Financials are primed for a comeback.

  • The Play: Look for value in banking and financial services as interest rate cycles turn favorable.

2. The Thesis: Silver vs. Gold 🥇🥈

Ashish's team has a high-conviction view on precious metals, but with a distinct split in strategy between the two.

  • Gold is "Insurance": They view Gold primarily as a strategic allocation, a hedge against currency depreciation and instability. It's the safety net in the portfolio.

  • Silver is "Tactical": The real opportunity for alpha lies in Silver. The team is confident that Silver will significantly outperform Gold in this cycle. It is viewed as a "high-beta" trade offering aggressive growth potential for investors willing to move beyond just safety.

3. Midcaps: Don't Take the "Training Wheels" Off Yet 🚲

Is it time to go 100% aggressive on mid- and small-cap stocks again? Not yet.

  • The Reality: While Mid/Small cap earnings are growing at a robust 25-30% (vs. slower growth in Large Caps), valuations are still tricky.

  • The Advice: Avoid going "all-in" on aggressive small caps. Instead, adopt a Flexi-cap approach—balance the stability of large caps with the growth of mid-caps.

4. Navigating US Tariffs & Exports 🚢

With global trade dynamics shifting, Ashish advises caution on export-heavy sectors.

  • Domestic > Exports: Structural domestic themes (like digital platforms, consumption, and fintech) are safer bets than tariff-exposed industries.

  • The Exception: IT Services might remain resilient, aided largely by Rupee depreciation.

5. The FII Reversal 🌏

Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) sold heavily in 2025 due to India’s high valuations.

  • The 2026 Outlook: As Indian valuations moderate and US markets potentially cool off, expect FII flows to return to India, chasing the superior earnings growth relative to other emerging markets.

🎧 Listen to the full episode to hear how to build a durable business that survives the bubble.

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